About

Computerized Political Adviser

Human beings often have trouble predicting the outcomes of situations where there are multiple agents and factors. We all find it difficult to select a path for action with the top chance for success. We've chosen to stand up to this challenge by creating virtual, computerized advisers that can expose for managers and the wide public the consequences of their choices, by calculating various outcomes of each path. We have demonstrated our virtual advisers in the field of crime and political forecasting, and have presented our findings and results in international conferences. Our virtual adviser has succeeded in accurately forecasting the top parties to sit in the Israeli government following the 2013 elections, and is currently providing consultation for the 2015 elections as well.

 

Our political adviser relies on information gained from two main sources:

  1. The wisdom of the crowd: we rely on the crowd to identify the ideaological positions of each party, and the importance of said position in the eyes of the party's leaders.

  2. The heuristics of experts: we formalize the logical rules which experts use in analyzing the political system and the relations between the parties, and thus create an algorithm that can provide expert consultation. 

 

By utilizing the two sources of information, we have created a computerized adviser that receives constant information from the crowd and from the media, and provides on-demand and real-time political consultation. Unlike human experts, the computerized adviser does not demand a large salary (or bonuses for top predictions), travel expenses or complicated workshops, and it is not exposed to cognitive biases. Any political adviser, politician, or even an ordinary layperson, can operate the computerized adviser and obtain important insights for the future.

 

Since the adviser is automated, it can consider multiple scenarios in seconds, produce statistics of outcomes for every scenario (or even for multiple scenarios) and aid in finding the best scenario which the operator should pursue to reach his or her goal. 

 

The above methodology can be implemented for any multi-agent system, including (but not limited to) political systems, geopolitics, criminal and terrorist activities, and investments/purchases/mergers of companies.

 

We are always looking for interesting new projects. Contact us to find more about our services!